Search This Blog

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

COVID Plateau (Updated)

Okay, I lied. One more COVID post. I will update with graphs and analysis a little later.

In the last post, we saw how most states seem to be plateauing. Therefore, the U.S. should be plateauing, and upon investigation, yes, the U.S. appears to be plateauing.



The first graph presents the average of the week on a given day (running near 70 per million per day), the second just that given day. You can see some similarity.between the days in the last week or so. When you look at the states, they mostly look like they've plateaued. A few seem to be on the rise, while New York may be dropping still.

Should we make lockdown harder than it is? Should we open states with small changes to see how much effect each preventative measure is making? Why do the latter? We need to see if we are wasting people's time with different measures.

The influenza virus has seasons (usually tapering off through March and May). Will warmer air effect the corona virus similarly? Will we see rates drop?

Maybe the drop has already occurred, which explains the differences we see between southern and northern state infection rates (infection in the southern U.S. has been at a lower rate although Louisiana did rise ).


Two websites on flu season, both with similar but slightly different information (CDC has less info or I'd have listed that):


It looks like COVID-19 may be with us for a long while. Will schools even open in the Fall? Will they open only to close later?

Is there a way to open businesses yet protect the vulnerable?

No comments:

Post a Comment